Historically low interest rates and lifestyle changes are fueling housing activity around Washington state. Commenting on just-released June statistics, multiple offers are common “especially in the median price range.” A shortage of homes is the key factor in the bidding wars. At the end of June, there was only 1.16 months of supply system-wide, which is the second lowest level in the past decade. Not surprisingly, the supply/demand imbalance is causing prices to ratchet up. Median prices for last month’s 8,312 closed sales of single family homes and condos increased nearly 5.7% compared to a year ago. A comparison to May shows an increase of more than 3.3%.
Multiple offers are back with a vengeance as buyers are handicapped by having only about half the inventory of a year ago. If a buyer finds a home they like, it’s likely 20 other people will be vying for it, and the battle is on. A major increase in sales activity intensity was noticed, which measures the percentage of homes that sell within the first 30 days of going on the market. It’s almost as if the cupboards were bare in the more affordable to mid-price ranges where the majority of sales take place. What is abundantly clear is that the COVID-19 induced slowing in housing activity that we saw in May was not enough to freeze the Seattle housing market for very long. The month-over-month gains in pending sales, closed sales, and prices is a “very significant” and indicators of a housing market that is “very robust.”
The shortage of inventory is resulting in higher prices and rising demand “in places that are more rural and popular with older people trading down. Extraordinarily low month’s supply indicates that prices may have more room to move in areas popular with people trading down or seeking more space but still close to Seattle. The pre-pandemic migration patterns to outer suburbs or more rural areas appear to have accelerated now that lockdowns have eased.
JULY STATISTICS
In many areas we are seeing new listings making a comeback, which is a welcomed sight for buyers encountering stiff competition. As the economy continues to open up at a steady pace, we anticipate more sellers will choose to list their homes. A number of homes for sale are perilously low, but the month-over-month jump in new listings was encouraging. However, it did not help overall inventory levels as they all sold too quickly! No wonder the number of closed sales is down – there’s hardly anything to buy. Agents are reporting a lot of interest in outlying areas such as Bellingham, Bainbridge Island, Eastern Washington, Bend, Oregon and other destinations with recreational amenities that appeal to buyers who are able to work from home or take early retirement. As inventory diminishes in those areas, this trend may open up additional inventory in the Puget Sound region. The industry’s increased use of technology during “stay-at-home” directives, virtual transactions are becoming more common.
The reason of the rising interest in moving to suburban neighborhoods and to Central and Eastern Washington are more space, lower prices, and lower taxes. They have found they can accomplish most of their work and business from home. If we were not amid a pandemic and the restrictions on showings and public open houses, it seems like just another summer real estate market.
We continue to see price appreciation over last year as well as the all too common shortages of inventory. Buyers are wisely taking advantage of record low interest rates. Potential sellers might take note: If you have given any thought about selling, this may well be a particularly good time to do so! In a recent report, Housing Wire, a news portal for mortgage and housing professionals, indicated last week’s average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage, at 3.07%, was the lowest in a Freddie Mac data series that goes back to 1971. Its Housing Recovery Index shows Seattle is among markets showing the greatest recovery.
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